Our model gives San Antonio a 30% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 38% for 9 de Octubre.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, San Antonio have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and 9 de Octubre have done so in 0 of their last 3.