Our model gives SalPa a 38% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 39% for Tampere United.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, SalPa have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Tampere United have done so in 2 of their last 4.