Our model gives Salford City a 59% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Swindon Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Salford City have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Swindon Town have done so in 1 of their last 2.