Our model gives Saku Sporting a 41% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 44% for Legion.

Both teams are projected to score in 71% of simulations, against 29% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 87% likelihood against 13% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Saku Sporting have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Legion have done so in 1 of their last 1.