Our model gives Sacachispas a 71% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 10% for San Benito.

Both teams are projected to score in 38% of simulations, against 62% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sacachispas have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and San Benito have done so in 3 of their last 4.