Our model gives Sabah a 75% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 8% for İmişli FK.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Sabah have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and İmişli FK have done so in 0 of their last 1.