Our model gives Rydalmere Lions a 62% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Newcastle Jets II.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rydalmere Lions have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Newcastle Jets II have done so in 1 of their last 2.