Our model gives Rugby Town a 46% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Uttoxeter Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rugby Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Uttoxeter Town have done so in 0 of their last 1.