Our model gives Rubin Kazan a 45% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Dynamo Makhachkala.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rubin Kazan have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Dynamo Makhachkala have done so in 4 of their last 4.