Our model gives Rotherham United a 31% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 46% for York City.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rotherham United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and York City have done so in 1 of their last 2.