Our model gives Rot-Weiß Erfurt a 62% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Magdeburg II.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rot-Weiß Erfurt have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Magdeburg II have done so in 4 of their last 5.