Our model gives Rosario Central a 57% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Gimnasia La Plata.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rosario Central have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Gimnasia La Plata have done so in 1 of their last 3.