Our model gives Rodelindo Román a 33% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 43% for Quintero Unido.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rodelindo Román have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Quintero Unido have done so in 1 of their last 2.