Our model gives Ørn Horten a 48% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Oppsal.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ørn Horten have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Oppsal have done so in 3 of their last 4.