Our model gives River Plate a 57% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Huracán.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, River Plate have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Huracán have done so in 1 of their last 4.