Our model gives Rijeka a 65% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Rudeš.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rijeka have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Rudeš have done so in 3 of their last 3.