Our model gives Resistencia a 38% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Deportivo Capiatá.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Resistencia have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Deportivo Capiatá have done so in 2 of their last 3.