Our model gives Redcar Athletic a 43% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Lancaster City.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Redcar Athletic have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Lancaster City have done so in 2 of their last 3.