Our model gives Real Tomayapo a 44% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Oriente Petrolero.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Real Tomayapo have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Oriente Petrolero have done so in 3 of their last 4.