Our model gives Real Oruro a 56% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Independiente Petrolero.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Real Oruro have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Independiente Petrolero have done so in 3 of their last 4.