Our model gives Rathfriland Rangers a 19% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 59% for Loughgall.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rathfriland Rangers have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Loughgall have done so in 2 of their last 2.