Our model gives Rangers a 58% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 21% for St. Mirren.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rangers have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and St. Mirren have done so in 0 of their last 3.