Our model gives Rancho Santana a 24% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 55% for Walter Ferreti.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Rancho Santana have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Walter Ferreti have done so in 2 of their last 2.