Our model gives Raków Częstochowa a 55% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Zagłębie Lubin.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Zagłębie Lubin have done so in 2 of their last 3.