Our model gives Quinns a 48% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 33% for Gwelup Croatia SC.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Quinns have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Gwelup Croatia SC have done so in 2 of their last 3.