Our model gives Quiché a 80% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Juventud Copalera.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Quiché have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Juventud Copalera have done so in 0 of their last 1.