Our model gives Quevilly Rouen a 33% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 35% for Fleury 91.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Quevilly Rouen have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Fleury 91 have done so in 0 of their last 2.