Our model gives Querétaro W a 11% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 73% for Monterrey W.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Querétaro W have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Monterrey W have done so in 2 of their last 2.