Our model gives Qingdao Red Lions a 31% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 40% for Lanzhou Longyuan.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Qingdao Red Lions have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Lanzhou Longyuan have done so in 1 of their last 1.