Our model gives Pyunik a 72% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Van.

Both teams are projected to score in 41% of simulations, against 59% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pyunik have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Van have done so in 2 of their last 3.