Our model gives Pyunik II a 53% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Ararat-Armenia II.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pyunik II have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Ararat-Armenia II have done so in 0 of their last 3.