Our model gives Puszcza Niepołomice a 28% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 44% for Podbeskidzie.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Puszcza Niepołomice have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Podbeskidzie have done so in 2 of their last 5.