Our model gives Puskás W a 79% chance to win this one, against 12% for a draw and 9% for Újpest W.

Both teams are projected to score in 51% of simulations, against 49% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Puskás W have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Újpest W have done so in 1 of their last 2.