Our model gives Prykarpattia a 29% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 43% for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 45% likelihood against 55% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Prykarpattia have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have done so in 1 of their last 2.