Our model gives Portsmouth a 36% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 38% for Sheffield United.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Portsmouth have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Sheffield United have done so in 1 of their last 1.