Our model gives Pors Grenland a 15% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 66% for Bjarg.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pors Grenland have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Bjarg have done so in 2 of their last 3.