Our model gives Popești-Leordeni a 30% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 42% for ASU Poli Timişoara.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Popești-Leordeni have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and ASU Poli Timişoara have done so in 0 of their last 4.