Our model gives Polissya Zhytomyr a 62% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Polissya Zhytomyr have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih have done so in 2 of their last 3.