Our model gives Pogoń Szczecin a 41% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Wisła Płock.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pogoń Szczecin have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Wisła Płock have done so in 2 of their last 3.