Our model gives Pocheon a 61% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Yeoju Sejong.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Pocheon have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Yeoju Sejong have done so in 0 of their last 2.