Our model gives Piratas a --% chance to win this one, against --% for a draw and --% for Venados.

Both teams are projected to score in --% of simulations, against --% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a --% likelihood against --% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Piratas have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Venados have done so in 3 of their last 4.