Our model gives Phönix Lübeck a 57% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Werder Bremen II.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Werder Bremen II have done so in 2 of their last 2.