Our model gives Phönix Lübeck a 68% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 13% for VfB Lübeck.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and VfB Lübeck have done so in 1 of their last 4.