Our model gives Phönix Lübeck a 64% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Todesfelde.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Phönix Lübeck have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Todesfelde have done so in 3 of their last 3.