Our model gives Persepolis a 70% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 8% for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

Both teams are projected to score in 33% of simulations, against 67% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Persepolis have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Esteghlal Khuzestan have done so in 0 of their last 1.