Our model gives Penybont a 35% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 38% for Flint Town United.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Penybont have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Flint Town United have done so in 2 of their last 3.