Our model gives PeKa a 80% chance to win this one, against 10% for a draw and 10% for IPS Edustus.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 87% likelihood against 13% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, PeKa have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and IPS Edustus have done so in 4 of their last 4.