Our model gives Paysandu FC a 32% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 41% for Atenas.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Paysandu FC have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Atenas have done so in 1 of their last 2.