Our model gives Partizan a 60% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Radnički Kragujevac.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Partizan have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Radnički Kragujevac have done so in 2 of their last 2.