Our model gives Partick Thistle a 61% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Raith Rovers.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 46% likelihood against 54% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Partick Thistle have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Raith Rovers have done so in 1 of their last 2.